The dynamic between Turkey and the European Union (EU) reflects a nuanced blend of cooperation and contention. As a candidate for EU membership since 1987, Turkey has engaged in a protracted accession process, formally commencing negotiations in 2005. However, progress has been sluggish, with only a few chapters of EU legislation successfully concluded as of my last knowledge update in September 2021. Political complexities have been at the forefront of these challenges, as concerns persist regarding the erosion of democratic institutions, human rights abuses, and the rule of law in Turkey, periodically leading to the suspension of specific accession negotiations.

The longstanding Cyprus issue, characterized by Turkey’s non-recognition of the Republic of Cyprus and the unresolved conflict in Northern Cyprus, further complicates the path to EU membership. Nevertheless, economic ties remain robust, with Turkey relying heavily on the EU as its foremost trading partner. Moreover, in response to the 2015-2016 refugee crisis, the EU and Turkey have engaged in cooperative efforts to manage migratory flows, notably through the EU-Turkey Migration Deal. The future of this relationship hinges on the resolution of political disputes, the upholding of democratic principles, and finding common ground on various regional and international challenges, underscoring its significance for both parties in the ever-evolving landscape of European politics.

It’s important to note that the dynamics of international relations can change over time, and political situations can evolve. As of the last update, Turkey had not officially abandoned its EU aspirations, but the challenges were substantial. The future of Turkey’s relationship with the EU depends on various factors, including political developments in Turkey, the stance of EU member states, and progress on issues such as democracy, human rights, and the Cyprus dispute. For the most up-to-date information on this matter, it’s advisable to consult recent news sources and official statements from Turkey and the EU.

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“Palestinians are treated as an inferior race. Denied access to food and water. And yet no sanctions on Israel for its apartheid regime. Utter hypocrisy,” said Barret as he referred to the international community’s condemnation of the Russian military operation in Ukraine.

He added, “And yet you want to be careful about your language… But you will not use the same strength of language when it comes to describing the Israeli treatment of the Palestinians when it is now being documented and detailed by two of the most respected human rights organizations in the world.”

“Anybody who looks honestly at the decades of brutal, inhumane persecutions, successive assaults on Gaza, the annexation of the land and territory, the systematic application of apartheid rules, you don’t want to even use the word apartheid, never mind sanctions.”

Source: https://english.wafa.ps/Pages/Details/128285

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On the menu of the talks were “the strengthening of bilateral cooperation, in particular to meet the needs of European energy security, in light of the conflict in Ukraine,” Di Maio had tweeted shortly after his arrival in Algiers.

Russia launched an invasion of Ukraine on Thursday, sending shockwaves internationally and triggering a battery of Western economic sanctions against Moscow.

“Our goal is to protect Italian companies and families from the effects of this atrocious war,” Di Maio told reporters in Algiers, but did not give figures on a possible increase in gas deliveries from Algeria.

“The Italian government is committed to increasing energy supplies, including gas, from various international partners,” including Algeria, “which has always been a reliable supplier,” he said.

Algeria is the second supplier of gas to Italy, behind Russia.

The Algerian state-owned hydrocarbon giant Sonatrach said Sunday that it was ready to provide more gas to Europe, including through the Transmed pipeline linking Algeria to Italy.

Sonatrach “has unused capacity on the Transmed pipeline”, which could be used to “increase supplies to the European market”, said its CEO, Toufik Hakkar.

Europe is the “natural market of choice” for Algeria, which currently contributes to 11% of its gas imports, he said.

Mr. Di Maio was accompanied by a delegation including Claudio Descalzi, CEO of the Italian hydrocarbon giant Eni, very present in Algeria where it is a partner of Sonatrach.

Italy intends to diversify “as soon as possible” its energy sources to reduce its dependence on Russian gas, said Friday the head of the Italian government Mario Draghi, regretting the bad choices of the past.

Italy, which imports about 95% of the gas it consumes, is one of the European countries most dependent on Russian gas.

About 45% of the gas imported by the peninsula comes from Russia, said Draghi, adding that the peninsula could increase its gas deliveries from Algeria, but also from Azerbaijan, Tunisia and Libya.

Source: https://www.africanews.com/2022/03/01/algeria-italy-discuss-increase-in-gas-supplies/

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Causalities and Deaths of Russian Invasion to Ukraine

According to the reports from the UK, around 194 Ukrainians including 57 civilians and 450 Russian troops were killed since the start of yesterday’s invasion. Russian defense ministry claimed that they killed 200 Ukrainian special forces during the fighting for Hostomel airfield. Ballistic missiles were fired into Ukraine from Belarus.

Signs of Direct Talks Between Russia & Ukraine

In the meantime, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky called for direct talks with Russian leader Vladimir Putin and Russians response came from Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov saying they are ready for direct talks with Ukraine provided their armed forces surrenders fully!

Humanitarian Crisis Of The War – The Refugees of Ukraine Conflict

As per the UN statement, they are ready to provide humanitarian assistance wherever necessary and possible and announced to allocate $20 million from the Central Emergency Response Fund to meet urgent needs. UN also requested Ukraine’s neighboring countries to keep their borders open for refugees.

EU Neighbors To Help Refugees From Ukraine

Romania said that they are ready with 5,00,000 shelters for the refugees and already 30,000 refugees arrived in Romania and Maldova. Poland set to open 9 refugee reception centers across its bordering areas with Ukraine to provide immediate medical care, meals and resting place. More than 100,000 refugees arrived in Poland as on today.

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China severely restricts EU companies with rights to key technologies (such as 3G, 4G and 5G) from protecting these rights when their patents are used illegally or without appropriate compensation by, for example, Chinese mobile phone manufacturers. The patent holders that do go to court outside China often face significant fines in China, putting them under pressure to settle for licensing fees below market rates. 

This Chinese policy is extremely damaging to innovation and growth in Europe, effectively depriving European technology companies of the possibility to exercise and enforce the rights that give them a technological edge.

Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice-President and Commissioner for Trade, said: “We must protect the EU’s vibrant high-tech industry, an engine for innovation that ensures our leading role in developing future innovative technologies. EU companies have a right to seek justice on fair terms when their technology is used illegally. That is why we are launching WTO consultations today.”

Since August 2020, Chinese courts have been issuing decisions – known as “anti-suit injunctions” – to exert pressure on EU companies with high-tech patents and to prevent them from rightfully protecting their technologies. Chinese courts also use the threat of heavy fines to deter European companies from going to foreign courts.

This has left European high-tech companies at a significant disadvantage when fighting for their rights. Chinese manufacturers request these anti-suit injunctions to benefit from cheaper or even free access to European technology.

The EU has raised this issue with China on a number of occasions in an attempt to find a solution, to no avail. As the Chinese actions are, according to the EU, inconsistent with the WTO Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), the EU has requested consultations at the WTO.

Next steps

The dispute settlement consultations that the EU has requested are the first step in WTO dispute settlement proceedings. If they do not lead to a satisfactory solution within 60 days, the EU can request the WTO to set up a panel to rule on the matter.

Background

The patents concerned by this case are standard-essential patents (SEPs). SEPs are patents that are essential in order to manufacture goods that meet a certain international standard. Because the use of the technologies protected by these patents is mandatory for the production of, for example, a mobile phone, patent owners have committed to licensing these patents to manufacturers under fair, reasonable, and non-discriminatory (FRAND) terms. A mobile phone manufacturer should, therefore, obtain a license (subject to a license fee negotiated with the patent holder) for these patents. If a manufacturer does not obtain a licence, and/or refuses to pay, a patent holder can enforce these patents and get a court to stop the sales of the products incorporating that unlicensed technology.

In August 2020, China’s Supreme People’s Court decided that Chinese courts can prohibit patent holders from going to a non-Chinese court to enforce their patents by putting in place an “anti-suit injunction”. The Supreme People’s Court also decided that violation of the order can be sanctioned with a €130,000 daily fine. Since then, Chinese courts have adopted four such anti-suit injunctions against foreign patent holders.

Source: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_1103

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The Brexit process began on June 23, 2016 when the United Kingdom voted to leave the EU. The residents decided that the benefits of belonging to the unified monetary body no longer outweighed the costs of free movement of immigration. The vote was 17.4 million in favor of leaving versus 15.1 million who voted to remain.1

On March 29, 2017, former U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May submitted the Article 50 withdrawal notification to the EU.2 On July 24, 2019, Boris Johnson replaced Theresa May as the U.K.’s Prime Minister.3 Johnson’s Conservative party attained a majority during a royally mandated general election on Dec. 12, 2019.4

As a result, Brexit will conform to his Withdrawal Agreement.5 On Jan. 23, 2020, the Agreement Act received Royal Assent.2 This is the legislation that will implement the withdrawal agreement negotiated by the UK and the EU

Takeaways

• Brexit is the nickname for “British exit” from the EU. It occurred on Jan. 31, 2020.

• A new trade agreement could raise tariffs and cause inflation.

• The cost of travel and communication could increase.

• The U.K. must pay billions in euros for its “divorce bill.

• Constraints on immigration could hurt the U.K.’s labor force.

• The U.K. could lose Scotland, which may opt to join the EU.

Withdrawal Agreement Summary

Johnson’s agreement is very similar to the one negotiated by Theresa May.3 One main difference is that the U.K. would not be in a “customs union” with the EU.3 That includes U.K. member Northern Ireland. But it allows Northern Ireland to adopt EU customs rules in keeping with the Republic of Ireland, an EU member. This avoids a hard border between the two.

There will be no Value-Added Tax (VAT) between the two Irish countries.

That means there will be a customs and regulatory border between Great Britain and Northern Ireland in the Irish Sea.3 That includes the VAT.

The EU and U.K. will negotiate a trade agreement that will probably impose tariffs on each other’s imports.6 This won’t apply to goods already purchased or in process.

The 3 million European nationals already living in the U.K. will continue to live and work in the country without work visas.6 The 1.3 million U.K. citizens will continue to do the same in the EU. For the future, the U.K. has proposed an immigration system based on workers’ skills.

The U.K. must pay a “divorce bill” of 33 billion pounds to fulfill any remaining financial commitments.7

The EU and the U.K. must negotiate trade agreements by Nov. 26 for it to be approved by Parliament in 2020.8 Otherwise, the U.K. must request an extension from the EU. If a trade deal or extension is not completed in time, the U.K. will revert to the same tariffs with the EU as other World Trade Organization members.

Consequences of Brexit for the U.K.
The U.K. has already suffered from Brexit. The economy has slowed, and many businesses have moved their headquarters to the EU. Here are some of the impacts on growth, trade, and jobs. There would also be consequences specific to Ireland, London, and Scotland.

Growth
Brexit’s biggest disadvantage is its damage to the U.K.’s economic growth. Most of this has been due to the uncertainty surrounding the final outcome.

Uncertainty over Brexit slowed the U.K.’s growth from 2.4% in 2015 to 1.5% in 2018.9 The U.K. government estimated that Brexit would lower the U.K.’s growth by 6.7% over 15 years. That’s if there is a trade agreement but restrictions on immigration.10

The British pound fell from $1.48 on the day of the referendum to $1.36 the next day. That helps exports but increases the prices of imports. The pound may strengthen once a deal is approved, depending on the trade terms.11

Trade
Brexit would eliminate Britain’s tariff-free trade status with the other EU members. Tariffs would raise the cost of exports. That would hurt U.K. exporters as their goods become more expensive in Europe. Some of that pain would be offset by a weaker pound.

Tariffs would also increase the prices of imports into the U.K. More than one-third of its imports comes from the EU.12 Higher import prices would create inflation and lower the standard of living for U.K. residents. The U.K. is already vulnerable because heat waves and droughts caused by global warming have reduced local food production.13

The U.K. would lose the advantages of the EU’s state-of-the-art technologies. The EU grants these to its members in environmental protection, research and development, and energy.14

Also, U.K. companies could lose the ability to bid on public contracts in any EU country. These are open to bidders from any member country. The most significant loss to London is in services, especially banking. Practitioners would lose the ability to operate in all member countries. It could raise the cost of airfares, the internet, and even phone services.14

Jobs
Brexit would hurt Britain’s younger workers. Germany is projected to have a labor shortage of 3 million skilled workers by 2030.15 Those jobs will no longer be as readily available to the U.K.’s workers after Brexit.

Employers are having a harder time finding applicants.16 One reason is that the number of EU-born workers fell by 95% in 2017. This has hit the low-skilled and medium-skilled occupations the most.

Ireland
Northern Ireland would remain with the United Kingdom. The Republic of Ireland, with which it shares a border, would stay a part of the EU. Johnson’s plan avoided a customs border between the two Irish countries.

A customs border could have reignited The Troubles.17 It was a 30-year conflict in Northern Ireland between mainly Catholic Irish nationalists and pro-British Protestants. In 1998, it ended with the promise of no border between Northern Ireland and Ireland. A customs border would have forced 9,500 commuters to go through customs on their way to and from work and school.18 Brexit would also affect the 2,100 workers who commute to Great Britain.

London
Brexit has already depressed growth in The City, the U.K.’s financial center.19 Growth was only 1.4% in 2018 and was close to zero in 2019. Brexit has diminished business investment by 11%.

International companies would no longer use London as an English-speaking entry into the EU economy.16 Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanly have already switched 10% of their clients. Bank of America has transferred 100 bankers to its Dublin office and 400 to Paris.19

Scotland
Scotland voted against Brexit.20 The Scottish government believes that staying in the EU is the best for Scotland and the U.K. It has been pushing the U.K. government to allow for a second referendum.

To leave the U.K., Scotland would have to call a referendum on independence. It could then apply for EU membership on its own.21

The Brexit Vote
In summary, the Brexit vote imposed these three hard choices on the U.K.:22

Leave with no deal, known as “no-deal Brexit.” Without a trade agreement, ports would be blocked and airlines grounded. In no time, imported food and drugs would run short.

Vote again on Brexit. Many argue that voters did not understand the economic hardships that Brexit would impose. On December 10, 2018, the European Court of Justice ruled that the U.K. could unilaterally revoke its Brexit application to remain in the EU.

Approve a negotiated deal. The sticking point had been the nature of the border between the U.K.’s Northern Ireland and the EU’s Republic of Ireland.

Consequences for the EU
The Brexit vote has strengthened anti-immigration parties throughout Europe.16 If these parties gain enough ground in France and Germany, they could force an anti-EU vote. If either of those countries left, the EU would lose its most robust economies and would dissolve.

On the other hand, new polls show that the majority of EU citizens still strongly support the Union.24 Almost 75% say the EU promotes peace, and 55% believe it supports prosperity. More than a third see the role of the U.K. as diminishing.

Consequences for the United States
Brexit is a vote against globalization. It takes the United Kingdom off the main stage of the financial world. It creates uncertainty throughout the U.K. as The City seeks to keep its international clients.

U.S. stability means London’s loss could be New York’s gain.

The day after the Brexit vote, the currency markets were in turmoil. The euro fell 2% to $1.11.25 The pound fell 8% to $1.36.11 Both increased the value of the dollar. That strength is not good for U.S. stock markets. It makes American shares more expensive for foreign investors.

A weak pound also makes U.S. exports to the U.K. more expensive. The United States has an $18.9 billion trade surplus with the U.K. In 2018, it exported $141 billion while importing $122 billion.26 Brexit could turn this surplus into a deficit if a weak pound makes U.K. imports more competitive.

Brexit dampens business growth for companies that operate in Europe. U.S. companies invested $758 billion in the U.K. in 2018.26 Most of this was the finance sector with some manufacturing. These companies use the U.K. as the gateway to free trade with the EU nations.

U.K. businesses invested $561 billion in the United States. Brexit puts at risk jobs in both countries. In addition, there were 716,000 U.K. immigrants in the United States and 215,000 U.S. immigrants in the U.K. in 2019.27

Brexit’s Causes
In 2015, the Conservative Party called for the referendum.

Most of the pro-Brexit voters were older, working-class residents of England’s countryside.1 They were afraid of the free movement of immigrants and refugees. They claimed citizens of poorer countries were taking jobs and benefits.

Small businesses were frustrated by EU fees. Others felt leaving the EU would create jobs. Many felt the U.K. paid more into the EU that it received.

Those who voted to stay lived in London, Scotland, and Northern Ireland.1 They liked free trade with the EU. They claimed most EU immigrants were young and eager to work. Most felt that leaving the EU would damage the U.K.’s global status.

Source: https://www.thebalance.com/brexit-consequences-4062999

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